Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.271050 0.317831 0.367473 0.423801 0.485664 0.551277 0.625862
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.212427 0.276785 0.349657 0.437177 0.538347 0.650598 0.783524
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.162648 0.235809 0.324076 0.435802 0.570899 0.726591 0.917172
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.120406 0.195817 0.292995 0.422506 0.585853 0.780651 1.026097
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.097374 0.176020 0.283472 0.433029 0.628200 0.867259 1.175177
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.073780 0.150553 0.262445 0.425450 0.645625 0.922489 1.286713
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.062881 0.141802 0.262894 0.445519 0.698518 1.022695 1.455533
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.049574 0.126144 0.250883 0.446422 0.724835 1.088752 1.582214
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.039139 0.112915 0.240508 0.448036 0.751101 1.154446 1.708948
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.032466 0.105096 0.237507 0.459689 0.790988 1.238370 1.860188
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.027522 0.099510 0.237312 0.475058 0.836061 1.329675 2.022155
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.023556 0.094999 0.238259 0.491826 0.883207 1.424327 2.189685
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.017469 0.083547 0.225550 0.486267 0.897999 1.476013 2.302703
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.013744 0.076793 0.220636 0.492853 0.930745 1.552968 2.450688
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.009760 0.067253 0.208756 0.486560 0.943294 1.601498 2.560724
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.006119 0.056149 0.191605 0.469423 0.937839 1.623755 2.634697
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.004665 0.052352 0.189673 0.479005 0.974270 1.706389 2.792562
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002865 0.044967 0.178123 0.469876 0.980126 1.744437 2.888785
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002377 0.044220 0.182456 0.490695 1.034876 1.854699 3.086997
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001514 0.039717 0.176526 0.491282 1.056237 1.915886 3.216863
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000920 0.035804 0.171341 0.492776 1.078849 1.979008 3.349936
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000629 0.033997 0.171613 0.505057 1.119692 2.069806 3.523085
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000448 0.032945 0.173858 0.521341 1.167519 2.171558 3.712628